In the Midst of Plenty: The End of the Beginning of the End

September 9, 2012 by

For the fifth time in as many decades, declinist literature has become increasingly prevalent. Spurred on by the economic crisis and slow recovery, many authors have taken up their pens in an attempt to forewarn the world of America’s seemingly inevitable collapse, oversimplifying complex domestic and international issues in the process. Most works indulge in fat-tail phenomena, base predictions of the country’s future success on past performances, and define the state as having a predictable lifespan; all reasons as to why these analyses fail to garner more than a cursory glance from academics, national leaders, and the population, in general.

Does India have the Potential of Besting the Chinese?

September 9, 2012 by

In China’s struggle to rise to its perceived natural place at the “center of the earth,” its key competitor is not the United States but India. Of China’s neighbors, only India can challenge China as a regional hegemon. This regional conflict has the potential of escalating into a military confrontation over the sovereignty of the South China Sea. However, only time will tell if this comes to pass. India’s civilian government has made clear that it views balancing against China a high priority. In late 2011, Vietnam sold blocks of oil and gas rights in the South China Sea to India’s state-owned oil company (ONGC Videsh Limited or OVL). Disregarding a warning from China, India followed through on the purchases.